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Table of Content

    25 June 2016, Volume 38 Issue 3
    Invited Special Paper
    Historical review and current development of artificial intelligence
    GU Xianfeng
    2016, 38(3):  157-166.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.001
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    This work gives a brief review of the history of artificial intelligence, and analyzes the current status of the field. The main principles and methodologies of the major branches in AI included symbolism and connectionism. Furthermore, the history, and booming reasons and major applications of deep learning are introduced as well.

    Review Article
    Impact of climate change and adaptive strategy on terrestrial water cycle and water resources in East Monsoon Area of China
    XIA Jun①, LIU Chunzhen, LIU Zhiyu, LUO Yong, DUAN Qinyun, MO Xinguo, XIE Zhenhui
    2016, 38(3):  167-176.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.002
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    The change of water cycling and water resources in China Eastern monsoon area is rather complicated, which has both strong monsoon influences of natural changes and climate change impact caused by carbon dioxide emissions due to anthropogenic forcing. The major change of land water cycle is the co-action of greenhouse gas emissions impact superposition in the eastern monsoon region and the natural variability of interaction, which the natural variability contribution to the influence of precipitation accounted for about 70% and anthropogenic forcing about 30%. With future increasing CO2 emissions contribution rate, the extreme floods will have further increasing. Also, along with rising temperature of 1 °C in North China, the agricultural water consumption will increase about 4% of the total water consumption. Thus, there are significant impacts of climate change and its risk on China’s eastern monsoon region, which covered almost of eight major river basins, such as Yangtze river, Yellow River, Huai River, Hai River and Pearl River, as well as the major water transfer (middle line). For the water security issue, it is necessary to take adaptive countermeasures and measures to reduce the vulnerability of water resources and their risks.

    Impact of climate change on flood disaster risk in China
    LIU Zhiyu, XIA Jun
    2016, 38(3):  182-188.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.003
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    Flooding is one of the worst natural disaster in China, and it is characterized by wide distribution, high frequency, and huge economic losses, which has been one of the important factors that restrict the economic and social sustainable development. Research shows that flooding in China has significant periodic decadal characteristics of high frequency and low frequency. For nearly 30 years, the inter-annual amplitude of floods in eastern monsoon climate area in China mostly showed a trend of increase. The increased frequency and intensity of flooding in typical southern river basins with high flood risk, and small and medium-sized rivers became prominent, and urban flooding and water-logging caused by storms in metropolises showed an increased trend. Under the background
    of global climate warming, rapid development of urbanization, heavy rain, floods and other extreme events may increase in occurrence and in intensity in future in parts of China, so as to increase the risk of flood disasters and accelerate the difficulty of flood-prevention and dispatch command, and thus causing unfavorable influences on the economic and social sustainable development.

    The uncertainty in climate change projections by global climate models
    DUAN Qingyun, XIA Jun, MIAO Chiyuan, SUN Qiaohong
    2016, 38(3):  182-188.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.004
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    Global warming caused by human activities has devastating impacts on the Earth’s eco-system and the human society. Climate models are the primary tools available for investigating the response of the climate system to various forcings and for making climate change projections into the future. Climate change projections are plagued by various sources of uncertainties, including the greenhouse gases emission scenarios, the internal variability of the climate system, and the representation of the climate processes. To cope with future climate changes, one must quantify those uncertainties properly. Probability distribution is an excellent way to describe the uncertainties. We presented the Bayesian multi-model inference methodology to quantify uncertainty in the climate change projections. We applied this Bayesian framework to assess the climate change projections contained in IPCC-AR5 in the continental China and in two typical large basins in China (Haihe and Pearl River). The results showed that warming is expected all over China under all emissions scenarios. The warming trend from 2006 to 2099 in China is 0.91±0.30 °C/100a, 2.41±0.77 °C/100a, and 6.08±1.01 °C/100a under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Precipitation in China is also projected to be increasing during the 21st century by (5.58±2.96)%/100a, (10.30±4.30)%/100a, and(15.90±6.68)%/100a for the three RCP scenarios, respectively. Under climate change, extreme temperature and precipitation events are projected to be more probable in the future with the probability distribution shifting to the right for both temperature and precipitation.

    Influences of climate changes on agricultural water resources in North China Plain
    MO Xingguo, XIA Jun, HU Shi, LIN Zhonghui
    2016, 38(3):  189-192.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.005
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    Water scarcity affects the stability and sustainable development of agricultural productivity in the North China Plain (NCP). Climate change has noticeable impacts on agricultural water resources. NCP faced a drying trend since 1950. Although the potential evapotranspiration in NCP show a decreased trend, the actual evapotranspiration will have an increasing trend in the near 30 years. Even the precipitation will be increasing significantly in the future; the effect of air warming overtakes the precipitation enhancement, leading to a decreasing trend of rainfall surplus, which will exaggerate the drought severity. The increasing trends in crop evapotranspiration and irrigation demand will change the pattern of water balance, the water deficit in north part of NCP will be exaggerated and the rainfall surplus in the south part of NCP will decrease. Adjusting the proportion and pattern of crops with high water consumption, reducing agricultural water consumption are the efficient ways to improve adaptive capabilities of agricultural system.

    Progress
    Structural studies of G protein-coupled receptors
    ZHANG Haonan, WU Beili
    2016, 38(3):  193-199.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.006
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    G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) play key roles in cell signal transduction. GPCR structures are important for understanding structure-functional relationship of the GPCR superfamily. Before the year 2000, the high-resolution GPCR structure is one of the major obstacles in structural biology field. In recent years, the structural studies of GPCRs have been developed remarkably. Here, we briefly summarize the methods used in GPCR structure determination, and also take the CCR5 and P2Y1R structures as examples to discuss the significance of GPCR structures on functional studies and drug discovery.

    Reasons of recession, adaptation and transformation of the ancient culture in the Yangtze Gorges region
    SHI Wei, ZHU Cheng
    2016, 38(3):  200-208. 
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    After Daxi culture flowering, the ancient culture in the Yangtze Gorges region showed the recession around 5 kaBP, and full recession around 4 kaBP, which corresponds exactly to the transformation process of regional climate from stability to instability. The instability of climate increased evidently in the process of its transformation. The original planting was essentially out of the regional economy. The composition of fishing and hunting always occupied the absolute advantage in this period. The subsistence economy showed highly dependent relationship with natural conditions. In general, during 6~2 kaBP, the subsistence economy in the Yangtze Gorges region showed the evolution characteristics from “fishing and hunting-farming economic” to “fishing and hunting economic”,
    and to “fishing and hunting-salt industry economic” again. The ancient culture connotation showed the special phenomenon of “progress during recession” and “transition during recession”. All above, on the one hand, reflect the progressive of the environmental perception and active adjustment of ancient culture; on the other hand, they also reflect distinctly the cultural identities of local environmental adaptability.

    Microbes—Coordinators of the Earth environments
    JIANG Hongchen, HUANG Liuqin, FENG Can, YANG Jian, DONG Hailiang
    2016, 38(3):  209-214.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.0253-9608.2016.03.008
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    Interactions between microbes and environments were summarized in this article, which focuses on the coordinations between microbes and Earth environments including microbe-mineral interaction, microbial bioremediation, microbes in extreme environments, and the reconstruction of historic microbial ecology.

     

    Science Review
    Science and Art
    Reflection on the scientific nature of Chinese painting
    LIN Fengsheng
    2016, 38(3):  223-227. 
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    Natural Forum
    Reading and Comments
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